Anyone who has seen Komal Nahta’s Interview with Sajid Khan would have seen this:
When Sajid asked Nahta, how Housefull will do(this was probably after first 2 days, so just a prediction)
Nahta said,” it will do probably 25 cr share first week and that is 75 cr Gross”
Now why would someone like Nahta make a improntu response like that.
First week Shares for a big movie doing Uniform business across Plexes and Single screens can notch upto 55-56% of the Nett.
Example:
3 Idiots first week nett = 80 cr
First week share = 45.54 cr(56+% of the nett)
Both of the above are Film Information numbers.
25 cr share for Housefull, would have meant 45-46 cr nett by this calculation.
45-46 cr nett gives 75 cr Gross as per Nahta, that is even he is using the “Industry Standard” 0.6 ratio, for conversion from Nett to Gross.
Scenario 1: There have been uncountable examples of Using Nett as 0.6 of Gross(eg, Veer Gross 32 cr gives 19.2 cr nett for the first weekend).
Now i know each state has different percentage taxes and so on , but even the foreign studios(in India) use something called the GBO(Gross Boxoffice) where they use a constant ratio rather than looking for different states and so on.
This exercise will always be very cumbersome with each movie doing different business in different states and circuits.
Another way to look at it is for the first week Nahta took the Gross = 3 times the Share, that is he took share as ~33% the Gross.
Now again this is for standard big movies doing uniform business in plexes and single screens,first week share and nett are around 33% and 55% respectively.
As weeks progress and the shares start going down, those numbers for a movie start approaching ~30% and ~50% respectively.(Has been substantiated by calculating for multiple movies).(Scenario 2)
Now back to My Name is Khan, there have been a 40+ million number, but the question is there have been so many million claims by the MNIK team,so why is one adhering to this number more than anything and not taking it as just one of the numbers.
So, now whether we take,
Scenario 1 : 73 cr nett = (73/0.6)122+ cr Gross.
Or we take,
Scenario 2: 37 cr share = (37/.3) 123+ cr Gross.
We are reaching a similar number, that is total worldwide Gross of MNIK,
122(Indian)+85(Overseas) = 207+ cr.
Lets talk some 3 Idiots now.
There have been many reports(and universally accepted ones), that 3 Idiots has done 400-410 cr Gross worldwide.
Lets break it down.
Indian Nett = 204 cr = (204/0.6) 340 cr Gross or
Indian Share = 101+ cr = (101/0.3)337 cr Gross
Overseas Gross = 70 cr, yielding a total of 407-410 cr Worldwide gross.
Conclusion:
How true is the MNIK 200+ Worldwide Gross number, its as true as 400+ cr 3 Idiots worldwide number.
*Is it foolish to turn a blind eye on the state to state different taxes and so on, may be yes, but as long as its not substantiated and not used by the Industry(and Analysts like Nahta), i will go with whats been the norm as of now.
Doga,I know you play out of your skin when it comes to box office matters but you are playing with fire on this considering the support king khan generates here.
I suggest act the goat and enjoy the 200 cr celebrations
Total Breakdown of 200+ cr for MNIK can be found here,
ReplyDeletehttp://boxofficekings.com/?p=436
I had 207-208 cr on June 10 2010.
Cross-checking the validity of the claim
ReplyDeleteAnyone who has seen Komal Nahta’s Interview with Sajid Khan would have seen this:
When Sajid asked Nahta, how Housefull will do(this was probably after first 2 days, so just a prediction)
Nahta said,” it will do probably 25 cr share first week and that is 75 cr Gross”
Now why would someone like Nahta make a improntu response like that.
First week Shares for a big movie doing Uniform business across Plexes and Single screens can notch upto 55-56% of the Nett.
Example:
3 Idiots first week nett = 80 cr
First week share = 45.54 cr(56+% of the nett)
Both of the above are Film Information numbers.
25 cr share for Housefull, would have meant 45-46 cr nett by this calculation.
45-46 cr nett gives 75 cr Gross as per Nahta, that is even he is using the “Industry Standard” 0.6 ratio, for conversion from Nett to Gross.
Scenario 1: There have been uncountable examples of Using Nett as 0.6 of Gross(eg, Veer Gross 32 cr gives 19.2 cr nett for the first weekend).
Now i know each state has different percentage taxes and so on , but even the foreign studios(in India) use something called the GBO(Gross Boxoffice) where they use a constant ratio rather than looking for different states and so on.
This exercise will always be very cumbersome with each movie doing different business in different states and circuits.
Another way to look at it is for the first week Nahta took the Gross = 3 times the Share, that is he took share as ~33% the Gross.
Now again this is for standard big movies doing uniform business in plexes and single screens,first week share and nett are around 33% and 55% respectively.
As weeks progress and the shares start going down, those numbers for a movie start approaching ~30% and ~50% respectively.(Has been substantiated by calculating for multiple movies).(Scenario 2)
Now back to My Name is Khan, there have been a 40+ million number, but the question is there have been so many million claims by the MNIK team,so why is one adhering to this number more than anything and not taking it as just one of the numbers.
So, now whether we take,
Scenario 1 : 73 cr nett = (73/0.6)122+ cr Gross.
Or we take,
Scenario 2: 37 cr share = (37/.3) 123+ cr Gross.
We are reaching a similar number, that is total worldwide Gross of MNIK,
122(Indian)+85(Overseas) = 207+ cr.
Lets talk some 3 Idiots now.
There have been many reports(and universally accepted ones), that 3 Idiots has done 400-410 cr Gross worldwide.
Lets break it down.
Indian Nett = 204 cr = (204/0.6) 340 cr Gross or
Indian Share = 101+ cr = (101/0.3)337 cr Gross
Overseas Gross = 70 cr, yielding a total of 407-410 cr Worldwide gross.
Conclusion:
How true is the MNIK 200+ Worldwide Gross number, its as true as 400+ cr 3 Idiots worldwide number.
*Is it foolish to turn a blind eye on the state to state different taxes and so on, may be yes, but as long as its not substantiated and not used by the Industry(and Analysts like Nahta), i will go with whats been the norm as of now.
I am highlighting it because i was probably the only one to have 200+ cr on it couple months back itself.
ReplyDeleteOther Main(official) number rolling was 41+ million dollars which is 188 cr or so and that does not conform to the industry norms as of yet.
Reportly Fox paid 35 lakhs for this on the front jacket of TOI on Mumbai and Delhi editions.
ReplyDeleteThanks Doga....
ReplyDelete35 lakhs is a lot of money, wonder what the motivation is for doing it now.
Doga,I know you play out of your skin when it comes to box office matters but you are playing with fire on this considering the support king khan generates here.
ReplyDeleteI suggest act the goat and enjoy the 200 cr celebrations
Anon :D If you actually took the trouble to read you would know that Doga PROPOSED that 200+ crore number before anyone else on June 10 itself!
ReplyDelete