Monday, November 22, 2010

The Box-Office Prospects of Guzaarish are Grim

Sanjay Leela Bhasali’s 2010 Magnum Opus Guzaarish released last week.

The movie has a total cost of anything between 65-80 cr going by all the sources.This kind of cost was always going to be a uphill task for any movie, leave alone a movie like Guzaarish which doesnt boast of a proper commerical setting.

The movie opened in the overseas markets to a lukewarm to decent response and has the following approximate numbers.

USA = 420 K Dollars first weekend.
UAE = 355 K Dollars first weekend.
UK = 250 K Dollars first weekend.(155 K pounds).
Around the world will add another 150-200 K max.

Which gives an opening weekend of around 1.2 Million Dollars to Guzaarish which in no way justifies its costs.

At this rate the movie will end its overseas run around ~2 million dollars(~9 cr) and give a share of around 4 cr.

Domestically,the movie had a opening weekend of around 14.5-15 cr nett.Now unless the movie remains very steady from monday onwards at a industry standard rate movie should have 22-23 cr first week and total nett ending around 32-34 cr.

Now given that starting next week there will be another slew of movies at a regular pace week after week and that even if the movie does remain steady,it will be on the lower side only at the maximum,given that the jumps in saturday and sunday till now dont show any significant chances of a long term run here,though it should be added that the movie did not have any crash on sat or sun, but that could be attributed to the fact that it didnt start with a bang anyways.

So the domestic final nett can range from anywhere between 32-40 cr giving a share of around 16-20 cr.

Given these kind of boxoffice numbers, the max a movie can get from other sources is 20 cr(TV/DVD/Music).

Thus the total revenue generated by Guzaarish comes to around,

Indian = 16-20 cr, more likely to end around 16-18 cr.
Overseas = 4 cr.
Other = 20 cr.
Total = 40-44 cr.
So, how much the movie helps the leads/director in the long term or how much acclaim it sees on TV/DVD is yet to be seen but as for now the movie is sure to be a loser on the Boxoffice front, with losses ranging from anywhere from 25-35 crores.

LINK

5 comments:

  1. Thanks doga!
    Here is Komal Nahta:

    The weekend box-office collections of Sanjay Leela Bhansali’s Guzaarish were Rs. 14.25 crore (Rs. 142.5 million) nett. While the Ash-Hrithik starrer opened with Rs. 3.75 on Friday, its Saturday collections were just Rs. 4.75 crore. The Sunday collections of Guzaarish were marginally higher at Rs. 5.75 crore. This adds up to Rs. 14.25 crore for the whole opening weekend. The total budget of Guzaarish (including promotions) is estimated to be Rs. 75 crore (Rs. 750 million). This is certainly not good news for the film’s distributors (UTV) as they stand to lose money.

    This is quite poor because there were high expectations from the film, because it was Sanjay Leela Bhansali’s long awaited project and also because it brought together the hit jodi of Hrithik Roshan and Aishwarya Rai Bachchan back to the screens again.

    LINK

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  2. Hmm - here is Mirani:
    "MUMBAI: Guzaarish proves to be an unmitigated disaster. This high budget Hrithik Roshan starrer has managed to collect a meagre Rs 125.6 million in its opening weekend.

    Having opened with a very, very poor response, its first day figures were Rs 35.3 million, with Saturday showing a marginal rise at Rs 45 million. But having been rejected by then, the Sunday collections were a meagre Rs 45.3 million."

    Now only a very robust Jodhaa Akbar type trending can save the film somewhat.

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  3. Production budget is said to be around 50 crore. You add P&P it becomes expensive movie. From all reports people have liked it but the subject itself and songs are not making people want to check the movie. I think it will sustain on lower side if no big movie releases in coming weeks.

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